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UFC betting guide for 2024

Fun fact: in main event UFC fights since 2005, the underdog has won 30%. Learn how to beat the odds with our UFC betting guide.
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Best UFC betting sites in Canada

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Canada’s top sportsbook
1
4.5 /5
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C$200 Bonus
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2
4.3 /5
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Great

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Cons

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3
4.1 /5
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Great
C$125 Bonus
  • Check icon Win Rate: 97.22%
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Pros

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Cons

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4
4.2 /5
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Great
C$300 Bonus
  • Check icon Win Rate: 100%
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Cons

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5
3.9 /5
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Good
None Bonus
  • Check icon Win Rate: 100%
  • Check icon Payout Speed: 5 days

Pros

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Cons

  • Check icon Lack of bonuses & promos
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6
4.1 /5
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Great
N/A Bonus
  • Check icon Games: 1,500+
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Cons

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7
4.0 /5
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Great
C$300 Bonus
  • Check icon Win Rate: 100%
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Cons

  • Check icon Limited VIP program

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8
3.8 /5
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Good
C$500 Bonus
  • Check icon Win Rate: 100%
  • Check icon Payout Speed: 48 hrs

Pros

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Cons

  • Check icon No live streaming available

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9
3.9 /5
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Good
C$200 Bonus
  • Check icon Win Rate: 100%
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Pros

  • Check icon Very quick payout time
  • Check icon Regular sports promotions
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Cons

  • Check icon Slightly unresponsive support

Payments

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10
3.9 /5
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Good
C$200 Bonus
  • Check icon Win Rate: 100%
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Pros

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How UFC betting odds work

The most important first step for rookie sports bettors getting into MMA action is to gain an understanding of how to read UFC odds. Here’s an example of UFC fight odds, and how to determine your potential payout.

Khabib Nurmagomedov
Khabib Nurmagomedov
1.33
Conor McGregor
Conor McGregor
3.50

UFC betting odds are based around every fight. Each one features two fighters from the same weight class, and one will usually be favoured over the other. In the above example, Khabib Nurmagomedov has much lower odds than Conor McGregor. That makes him the favourite, with McGregor the underdog.

In this case, the number in brackets beside each fighter’s name refers to decimal betting odds. To find out what your total return would be, simply multiply the amount of money you plan to wager by the number in brackets.

For example, if you were to place a C$100 bet on Nurmagomedov, you would take home C$133 (100 x 1.33) if he won. Alternatively, a C$100 bet on McGregor would yield a C$350 return (100 x 3.50). The higher the risk, the higher the reward. Remember, the underdog wins 30% of the time. Sometimes, taking the higher odds pays off.

UFC best bets & betting options

The true beauty of UFC betting odds is in their versatility. There are few aspects of the game that can’t be wagered on, meaning there’s always a reason to get engaged. Let’s look at what’s different between various types of UFC best bets.

UFC fight odds / moneyline

UFC fight odds are the most common and popular betting options. They enable you to simply wager on which fighter will win their bout. For example, the clash between Holly Holm and Irene Aldana is pegged as a virtual pick ‘em, with both fighters listed at 1.90 on the UFC fight night odds.

That means a successful C$10 bet on either of these fighters to win will produce a payout of C$19, including C$9 profit and your original C$10 betting stake.

Round betting

Round betting is done using the classic over/under format. This is another traditional method of sports gambling that isn’t specific to UFC betting, but it’s certainly common in MMA betting in general. You may be wondering – how does UFC round betting work?

The over/under format used in UFC round betting refers to guessing whether a fight will last over or under a certain number of rounds. The initial amount is set by the sportsbook. For example, if the over/under is 3.5, betting the under would be betting on the fight lasting less than 4 rounds. Alternatively, betting the over would be betting on the fight lasting 4 rounds or more.

Prop bets

There are many different types of UFC prop bets. The term refers to a proposition bet which hinges on whether a certain occurrence will take place. The three most popular prop bets in UFC betting relate to the three awards that are given out following the conclusion of every bout at UFC events – ‘Fight of the Night’ (FOTN), ‘Knockout of the Night’ (KOTN) and ‘Submission of the Night’ (SOTN).

Other prop bets focus on the probability of something specific happening, with the flip side being ‘any other result’. For example, Anderson Silva fought Daniel Cormier at UFC 200. One of the prop bets was ‘Silva wins by KO (knockout)/TKO (total knockout)’, while the other wager option was listed as ‘any other result’. If you were to bet on ‘any other result’, and Silva did not win by KO/TKO, you would win - regardless of what else ended up happening.

Futures bets

UFC futures offer the opportunity to bet on the future fortunes or misfortunes of specific fighters. In our UFC futures bet example, you can bet on whether Conor McGregor will reclaim a UFC title by the start of 2022.

Futures bets can also refer to betting on a fight that will take place well into the future. In UFC betting, some futures bets can even be made on fights that may never happen. For example, one sportsbook is taking bets for a match between Brock Lesnar and Gable Steveson.

Parlay betting

UFC parlay betting is also popular among sports bettors. With the UFC and MMA offering a full slate of fights most weekends, there are plenty of opportunities to combine your favourite picks into a single parlay wager, with the potential payout getting padded by enhanced moneyline odds.

In addition to combining wagers on a fight winner and their method of victory, UFC parlay betting also enables you to combine you wagers on the winners in multiple fights typically on the same card.

The only stipulation is that every single part of the bet must come true for the entire parlay to cash in. For example, if you were to bet on four different fighters to win their individual fights, all four must win.

Live betting

UFC live betting can be in the form of almost any type of UFC betting mentioned above. The difference is that these bets take place during the action, whereas traditional bets must be placed before a fight starts.

For example, a typical moneyline bet on McGregor would be made prior to round one. Once the bout begins, any moneyline bet (or other kind of bet) made on the fight is referred to as UFC in-play betting or live betting.

During UFC live betting, the odds are constantly fluctuating. So, if McGregor’s odds of winning the fight were 3.50 at the beginning of round one, they can go up or down throughout the round depending on his performance.

OGCA’s UFC betting tips

1
Do your homework

Every UFC fan has their favourite fighters, but don’t let your biases get in the way of the necessary task of doing your homework. The best UFC predictions are determined by learning as much as you can about each fighter in a matchup.

How do they stack up statistically? Which fighter has demonstrated an ability to go deep into a fight, as opposed to building their record on one-punch knockouts? Are injuries a factor? Building a strong profile of each fighter based on their skill set and past performance can help you better handicap a matchup.

2
Search for value

Big favourites are common in the UFC. As a result, there are always plenty of opportunities to find betting value among lesser-known UFC fighters. That said, you must still look beyond the odds when including longshots among your UFC picks.

Undefeated fighters can add a lot of value to their opponents’ odds. Consider these underdogs carefully while handicapping, particularly among matchups on the undercard, where knockouts are more common, and a greater number of underdog fighters enjoy unexpected breakthroughs on the road to UFC ranking.

3
Keep focused

With so many fights available to bet on each week, the task of handicapping can be a daunting one. That is why it makes a lot of sense to focus on specific classes of fighters, whether it be weight class or gender.

By focusing exclusively on welterweights and middleweights, for example, you can develop a wealth of knowledge about individual fighters, their fighting style and their history in the octagon. This can be particularly profitable if you are able to identify an up-and-coming fighter early in their career. Fighters on the rise often enjoy lengthy win streaks on their way to a UFC rankings berth.

4
Go beyond the stats

It can be easy for a sports bettor to fall into the trap of relying too heavily on stats. That’s why one of the most important UFC betting tips is is simply to watch the fights.

Spending the time enjoying the weekly UFC Fight Night cards is not only a lot of fun, but it can also help you gain a better understanding of the fighters you are following, and provide insight into a fighter’s temperament and weaknesses.

UFC stats & info

UFC rules
  • Every UFC fight is between two fighters who are in the same weight class (for more on weight classes, please see the ‘UFC Weight Classes’ category below) – much like pro boxing
  • Each weight class has a current defending champion, and every fighter is ranked within that category. Almost every UFC card has a ‘championship’ or ‘title’ fight, which can last for up to five rounds whereas an undercard (non-main) UFC event can only go a maximum of three rounds
  • All fights conclude with a winner, unless they’re declared ‘no contest’ or the judges decide it’s a draw. Bouts can be won six different ways – submission, knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), judges’ decision, disqualification (DQ) or forfeit
  • The referee can dock points from, or disqualify, a fighter in the case of a foul. Several different kinds of fouls can be called, per official UFC rules. Some examples include low blows, eye gouging, headbutts, biting and throat strikes
  • All UFC fighters must regularly undergo testing for performance-enhancing drugs. A failed doping test results in immediate suspension from all UFC fights. Many sports have doping issues, and the UFC is no different
UFC weight classes
UFC champions
Biggest UFC fights in history
MMA organizations

More on sports betting

FAQs

What is the UFC?

The UFC is the world’s pre-eminent MMA organization. Founded in 1993, and based in Las Vegas, the UFC has staged over 500 events over its 30-year history, and has played a leadership role in the development of MMA rules and promotions.

Is betting on the UFC legal in Canada?
What are the best UFC betting sites?
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